“Here in the Sid Valley, ‘demand’ for housing has always been a difficult thing to determine.”
“The first results of the census are in, highlighting a growing, ageing population” – with a tool from the Telegraph showing how any particular area’s population has changed:
With lots of tools here from the Office for National Statistics:
Local news highlighted the large increase for this part of the world:
There has been a lot of ensuing comment – including on the VGS social media pages, with this from regular contributor Paul Foster:
Don’t forget the census took place in the middle of Covid and there were many second homers who left the Big City for the duration, There are areas of London which show negative growth, cos they all beggared off out of it!
It was indeed the case that East Devon was a magnet during lockdown for those wanting to work from home:
And across the West Country, the second home ownership has exploded over the last two years:
So, the reliability of the Census should perhaps be questioned.
The same concerns were being mooted this time last year, “as these determine how many new homes are planned for”:
But the Office for National Statistics’ own population growth figures have just been questioned.
The key point there is that population forecasts determine how much housing should be built – a point noted by several posts this week by East Devon Watch – and in the comments that follow:
To quote from the VGS news piece from this time last year:
Here in the Sid Valley, ‘demand’ for housing has always been a difficult thing to determine:
With circular logic over ‘housing need’ and ’employment need’ feeding the current East Devon Local Plan:
It’s certainly generally been house builders who have pushed the ‘demand’:
Finally, it’s all about how you calculate ‘housing need’, as covered on these pages recently:
See the comment submitted for the draft Local Plan: